Sports

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting tips


Match Details

Fixture: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi

Date: May 28, 2026

Tournament: French Open

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Stade Roland Garros, Paris, France

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €61,723,000

Live Telecast: USA – TNT, HBO Max, TruTV | UK – TNT Sports | Canada – TSN, RDS | India – Sony Sports


Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi preview

Stefanos Tsitsipas at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)Stefanos Tsitsipas at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)
Stefanos Tsitsipas at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)

Former top 10 player Stefanos Tsitsipas will face Matteo Arnaldi in the second round of the French Open 2026.

Tsitsipas was up against Alexandre Muller in the first round. Tsitsipas went down a break to start the match but recovered pretty quickly. After conceding the first couple of games, he swept the next six games to take the opening set. He raced to a 3-0 lead in the second set when Muller threw in the towel. The latter was unable to continue due to an injury, thus sending Tsitsipas into the next round.

Arnaldi took on 29th seed Tallon Griekspoor in the first round. Neither player made any inroads on the other’s serve during the first set, leading to a tie-break. Both held multiple set points in the tie-break, and in the end it was Griekspoor who held his nerve to take the set.

Arnaldi asserted his authority in the second set, breaking Griekspoor‘s serve twice to claim the set. The Italian’s resilience helped him clinch the third set by saving four set points in the tie-break. Those missed opportunities deflated Griekspoor’s spirit, and Arnaldi ran circles around him in the fourth set to score a 6-7 (9), 6-3, 7-6 (6), 6-3 win.


Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi head-to-head

Tsitsipas leads their rivalry 1-0. He won their previous meeting at the French Open 2024 in four sets.


Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Stefanos Tsitsipas -190 +1.5 (-375) Over 38.5 (-140)
Matteo Arnaldi +145 -1.5 (+240) Under 38.5 (-105)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction

Matteo Arnaldi at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)Matteo Arnaldi at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)
Matteo Arnaldi at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)

Tsitsipas didn’t get an opportunity to test himself against Muller, who injured himself and ultimately retired. He notched up his sixth win on clay this year in the process, and improved his record at the French Open to 28-9 in the win. He finished as the runner-up to Novak Djokovic in 2021, his best result in Paris.

Arnaldi fought back to oust Griekspoor in his opener here. It marked his third win of the season at the ATP level, all on clay as well, and second against a top 40 player. A fourth-round finish in 2024 remains his best result at the French Open, coincidentally going down against Tsitsipas back then.

However, Tsitsipas has struggled this year, even on clay, his preferred surface. He has won back-to-back matches on the red dirt only once this year, en route to the fourth round of the Madrid Open. However, Arnaldi finds himself in the same boat, winning consecutive matches only once so far. Tsitsipas has been in slightly better form, and his record in Paris speaks for itself. He will be favored to win this match.

Pick: Stefanos Tsitsipas to win in four sets.


Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Matteo Arnaldi betting tips

Tip 1: The match will have at least 36 games.

Tip 2: Tsitsipas to win at least one set with a score of 6-3.