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MGM China May Be Source of Allure If MGM Resorts Draws Another Suitor


An amended voting agreement between MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM) and Barry Diller’s People Inc. (NASDAQ: PPLI) could simplify a future sale of the casino operator while making MGM China a point of emphasis in a change-of-control scenario.

MGM Resorts China Macau Cotai
MGM China could face “event risk” if parent MGM Resorts is sold. (Image: MGM China Holdings Limited)

CreditSights recently noted that MGM China faces potential “event risk” if control of its Las Vegas-based parent changes hands. While the research firm called takeover overhang risk “less acute,” it said the revised voting agreement with Barry Diller implies MGM Resorts could be open to a future sale. The U.S.-based parent owns 56% of the operator of MGM Cotai and MGM Macau. The Macau entity could be a source of attraction for a future MGM suitor.

We would also not rule out MGM China’s continued strong operational performance (decent 3Q26 results with a stronger market share and leverage metrics remaining well below pre-pandemic levels) as a positive draw for potential buyers of MGM,” CreditSights noted.

MGM has made it clear it is not conducting talks regarding a transaction with Diller’s media consortium, nor has the Bellagio operator stated it is in discussions with another prospective buyer.

Amended Deal Leaves Takeover Door Ajar

One of the primary details in the new MGM-People agreement is that the media conglomerate, which controls approximately 26% of the gaming company’s shares, will pledge those shares “in accordance with the Board’s recommendation in connection with a change-of-control transaction.”

After disclosing an $18-billion takeover bid for the casino behemoth, Diller made clear he would oppose third-party bids. However, that stance shifted under the revised voting agreement – a pivot that could simplify a future sale for MGM Resorts.

“(In) the amended voting agreement release between People Inc. and MGM, MGM’s chairman noted it creates ‘a clear path to maximize value through share repurchases and a change of control (CoC) transaction, if applicable,’ which to us, reads as MGM leaving the door open to another potential acquirer, a possibility that could resurface especially if MGM’s stock price remains depressed,” said CreditSights.

Maybe a Relief for MGM China

While a possible sale of the Las Vegas gaming giant may introduce event risk for the Macau entity, no transaction is currently on the table. If one does come to pass, it could result in a favorable outcome or more clarity for MGM China.

Soon after Diller made his takeover overture for MGM, unconfirmed reports suggested he wanted to unload the company’s stake in MGM China as well as its interest in MGM Osaka.

Todd Shriber is a senior news reporter covering gaming financials, casino business, stocks, and mergers and acquisitions for Casino.org.

Todd got his start in financial markets as a reporter with Bloomberg News. Later, he became a trader at a Southern California-based long/short hedge fund, where he specialized in the trading sector and international ETFs leading up to and during the financial crisis. He joined Casino.org in 2019.

Currently, Todd analyzes, researches, and writes on ETFs for various web-based publications and financial services firms. Shriber has been featured and quoted in Barron’s, CNBC.com, and The Wall Street Journal. His work can also be found on Benzinga, ETF Daily News, ETF Trends, MarketWatch, Fox Business, and Nasdaq.com.

He currently resides in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golf and taking his black lab to the dog park. He’s also an avid sports fan and likes to wager on college football and the NBA. You can also find him at the three-card poker and roulette table, even though he knows better.

Contact Todd at todd.shriber@casino.org.



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