Match Details
Fixture: (14) Learner Tien vs (17) Jakub Mensik
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Date: September 5, 2026
Tournament: US Open Tennis Championships
Round: Third Round (Round of 32)
Category: Grand Slam
Surface: Outdoor hard
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Queens, New York City
Prize Money: $108,000,000
Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN
Learner Tien vs Jakub Mensik preview
14th seed Learner Tien will face off against 17th seed Jakub Mensik in the third round of the 2026 US Open on Saturday.
Tien reached the third round with a 6-3, 6-4, 6-3 win over Gael Monfils, a result that ended the veteran’s Grand Slam career. It’s already the No. 14 seed’s best-ever showing at this event, having never previously advanced past the first round. He’s having a breakout 2026 overall too, capped by a first Masters 1000 semifinal in Montreal and a maiden clay title in Geneva, part of a run that’s pushed him from outside the top 150 into the top 20.
Meanwhile, Mensik reached the third round with a 6-3, 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 win over Jurij Rodionov, backing up an equally solid opener. His North American hard-court swing included a Montreal quarterfinal run before a fourth-round exit in Cincinnati and a similarly early finish in Washington, and he’s yet to advance past the third round here in three previous tries.
Learner Tien vs Jakub Mensik head-to-head
Their head-to-head is 1-0 in Tien’s favor, from a Next Gen ATP Finals group-stage match two years ago. This will be their first-ever meeting on the main ATP tour.
Learner Tien vs Jakub Mensik odds
(Odds via BetMGM)
Learner Tien vs Jakub Mensik prediction
Mensik’s serve is clearly the bigger weapon right now, averaging 11.13 aces per match this year compared to Tien’s more modest numbers, and his win over Rodionov showed it, with 85% of first-serve points won and 14 aces in the deciding sets. If his delivery holds up, he can shorten points and deny Tien the extended baseline rallies he thrives in.
Tien, though, has been the more physically resilient of the two through two rounds, saving all eight break points he faced against Monfils and generally showing better composure in tight moments this season, evidenced by his title run in Geneva and his first Masters 1000 semifinal in Montreal. His return game has also historically been sharper, taking a higher share of second-serve points in their underlying six-month numbers.
Given how evenly matched their 2026 seasons have been, both around a 70% win rate over the past year, this looks like a genuine coin flip, but Tien’s edge in composure and physical durability in long matches gives him a slight advantage if this goes deep.
Pick: Tien to win in five sets.
Learner Tien vs Jakub Mensik betting tips
Tip 1: The match will have at least 35 games.
Tip 2: Mensik to win a set via tiebreak.
Edited by Pritha Ghosh
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