Sports

Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting tips


Match Details

Fixture: (14) Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov

Date: September 7, 2026

Tournament: US Open Tennis Championships

Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Outdoor hard

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Queens, New York City

Prize Money: $108,000,000

Live Telecast: USA – ESPN | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN


Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov preview

14th seed Learner Tien will face off against unseeded Karen Khachanov in the fourth round of the 2026 US Open on Monday.

Tien reached the fourth round with a 6-3, 1-6, 6-7(2), 6-3, 6-4 comeback win over Jakub Mensik, rallying from two sets to one down in a match that stretched deep into the night. It’s already his best-ever US Open showing, and at 20, he’s the youngest American man to reach this stage here since Andy Roddick in 2002.

Meanwhile, Khachanov reached the fourth round with a 6-3, 6-2, 6-4 win over Benjamin Bonzi, backing up an upset of third seed Auger-Aliassime in the second round. It’s just the second time in his career he’s advanced this far here, matching a run to the semifinals back in 2022.


Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov head-to-head

Their current head-to-head record stands at 0-0.


Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Learner Tien -185 -3.5 (-110) Under 38.5 (-110)
Karen Khachanov +140 +3.5 (-130) Over 38.5 (-130)

(Odds via BetMGM)


Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov prediction

Tien’s resilience has been on display in his one five-set test so far, a comeback win over Mensik after trailing two sets to one. That kind of composure under pressure, closing out a match even after losing momentum, suggests he’s mentally equipped for whatever this one throws at him.

Khachanov has needed to work for it too, dropping the opening set to Auger-Aliassime before rallying to win in four, though his other two matches have been clean straight-sets wins. His serve has also been in good order, saving break points at a strong rate against Bonzi in the last round, and he’s no stranger to deep runs at this exact event, having reached the semifinals back in 2022.

Given Tien’s superior overall level this season, 19-9 on hard courts and a top-15 ranking to Khachanov’s No. 50, and his proven ability to fight through adversity when tested, he looks like the narrow favorite here, even against an opponent who’s shown he can also grind through tough moments.

Pick: Tien to win in five sets.


Learner Tien vs Karen Khachanov betting tips

Tip 1: The match will have at least 20 games.

Tip 2: Khachanov to win a set with a score of 7-5 or better.